Service Line: Climate Risk

A climate-risk assessment that supports decisions as well as disclosure.

We identify the climate risks most relevant to the business, agree which ones require action and give each priority a clear owner, budget and response plan. The same work also provides the content needed for disclosure.

Our subject matter expert is a lead author for the IPCC.

30 minute call → Free climate risk analysis for one siteNo call required

Ley 7/2021 · SpainCSRD / TCFD · EUSB 261 · CaliforniaM&A due diligence

Who you work with

Climate-risk work led by an IPCC lead author. The work is carried out directly by senior consultants.

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KN

Lead consultant

Keith Nelson

New Day Climate

MT

Subject matter expert

Mark Trexler

The Climatographers

Methodology

How an engagement runs.

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1

Identify

Build the long listScreen for materiality: three lenses

Output

A complete long list, narrowed to the risks that genuinely pass a materiality test, with the reasoning documented.

2

Prioritize

Group risks so decisions get easierScore and rank honestly

Output

A ranked list of priority risks, supported by documented reasoning, plus a watch list for risks that do not yet justify action.

3

Plan & govern

One-page fact sheet per priority riskFinancial modeling & reporting

Output

Fact sheets, a financial model, disclosure-ready reporting, and a governance map giving every risk an owner, a working group, a budget and indicators to watch.

See the full methodologyHide the full methodology

1 · Identify

Build the long list

Research plus interviews across your functions: physical, transition, strategic and systemic categories
Workshop introducing key concepts of risk thinking and transition strategy
Use climate-model data where it materially improves the assessment.

Screen for materiality: three lenses

Financial: plausible impact of at least 1.5% of revenue, or 2% of growth, in a single year
A material negative impact on the environment or on society
Any risk to the health and safety of employees or users: a hard red line

2 · Prioritize

Group risks so decisions get easier

Grouped by causal mechanism: what actually drives this family of risks
Grouped by decision-owner and budget-owner: who decides, who pays
Grouped by timeframe, matched to your contract lengths and asset life

Score and rank honestly

Validated in working meetings with the functions that own each risk
Scored on imminence, short-term severity, long-term severity, and readiness
Every risk lands in a clear verdict: watch, plan, act, or urgent

3 · Plan & govern

One-page fact sheet per priority risk

A measurable goal and acceptable-risk threshold
Mitigation tactics screened: can we do it, would it help, can we afford it
Implementation calibrated to our level of certainty about the risk

Financial modeling & reporting

Impacts modeled over 5, 10 and 15-year horizons under two NGFS scenarios
Documented assumptions and sensitivity analysis showing which results are robust and which depend heavily on uncertain inputs.
TCFD-aligned reporting content, ready for your legal disclosure

Climate-risk management takes time to embed across a business. The first engagement establishes the method, identifies immediate priorities and gives executives a practical basis for action.

Interactive tool · live demo

Scenario Explorer

Adjust the assumptions to see how they change the estimated financial effect.

Not sure how exposed you really are?

A short introductory call can establish whether the exposure is material enough to justify a full assessment and where the work should begin.

30 minute call → Free climate risk analysis for one siteNo call required